2018 Economic Forecast

January 9th, 2017
12:00 PM – 1:15 PM


The Sentinel
614 SW 11th Ave, 3rd floor
Portland, OR

On January 9th we will be hosting our annual Economic Forecast where the best and brightest will gather to discuss the upcoming economic trends for 2018.Moderator Dick Wingard will be joined by a panel comprised of Dr. Bill Conerly, Dr. Tom Potiowsky and Dr. John Mitchell.


px00242-7jpg-a74634c3dc07bd36Tom P. Potiowsky

Dr. Potiowsky is the chair of the Economics Department at PSU and was the Co-Director of the Applied Economics Research Group. Tom was appointed as State Economist in 1999 through 2006 and again in 2008 through 2011. He brings years of experience taking complicated economic analysis and results, and turning it into a meaningful, understandable presentation for policymakers and stakeholders. He has also published many articles for trade magazines, articles for edited books, conference proceedings, and selections of conference paper presentations.

Dr. Potiowsky received a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Colorado in 1981 and a B.B.A. degree in Economics from Ohio University in 1975.  Upon graduation from the University of Colorado, he was an Assistant Professor at the university before moving to Portland State University in 1983.  At Portland State University, Dr. Potiowsky was Chair of the Economics Department and Co-Director of the Applied Economics Research Group (AER Group).  Tom was appointed as Acting State Economist on February 1, 1999 and State Economist on August 1, 1999.

Tom Potiowsky has been active in publishing and presenting at academic conferences in the areas of macroeconomics and forecasting.  In addition to academic pursuits, he has consulted with numerous companies and given presentations to local organizations.

Dr. Potiowsky is a member of the American Economics Association. He also serves on the Board for the Oregon Council on Economic Education. Tom loves to take walks with his wife at the beach and wishes he could find time to golf and white-water kayak.

Conerly 2010 3-2Bill Conerly

Dr. Bill Conerly connects the dots between the economy and business decisions. He has the unique combination of a Ph.D. in economics from Duke University and over 30 years’ experience helping companies adapt to changing economic conditions. He was formerly Senior Vice President at First Interstate Bank and held positions in economics and corporate planning at two Fortune 500 corporations. Dr. Conerly was awarded the Chartered Financial Analyst designation in 1999.

Companies have used Dr. Conerly’s expertise to help with decisions regarding capital expenditures, inventory levels, expansion into new markets, pricing, business models and financial structure. As a diagnostician, he sometimes identifies opportunities and challenges that require additional expertise, at which times he recommends a colleague to help his client.

Dr. Conerly is an on-line contributor to Forbes and the author of Businomics, a book about economics for business leaders.  He is co-author of Thinking Economics, a multi-media high school economics curriculum used in 34 states.

He has been interviewed on the News Hour with Jim Lehrer, CNN and local television and radio stations across the country.  He has been quoted in the Wall Street JournalFortune Magazine, and USA Today.

Dr. Conerly is chairman of the board of Cascade Policy Institute, a member of Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber’s Council of Economic Advisors, and a Senior Fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis.

He is a member of:

  • American Economics Association
  • National Association for Business Economics (past chapter president)
  • Institute of Management Consultants
  • National Speakers Association (past chapter president)

JohnMitchellJohn Mitchell

John Mitchell received his B.A. degree from Williams College and his M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Oregon. He is a fellow of the College of Arts and Sciences at the University of Oregon and a member of Phi Beta Kappa.  He was a professor of economics at Boise State University for 13 years, before joining U.S. Bancorp in July of 1983.  He was Chief Economist of U.S. Bancorp until July of 1998 and served as Economist Western Region for US Bank until July of 2007. He wrote US. Bancorp’s regional publications including the UpdateThe Business Barometer, Northwest Portrait, and  US Territory s and was a columnist for Oregon Business Magazine. He wrote Sterling Bank’s economic newsletter from 2007 to 2012.   He currently speaks to conventions and business groups around the nation. He was a business analyst for KPTV in Portland. He has been making economic presentations on the nation and the region for more than 43 years.

John was a member of the Western Blue Chip Forecast Panel, and is a Trustee of the Aquila Tax Free Trust of Oregon, a board member of Oregon Mutual Insurance Company and Northwest Bank which has branches in Portland and Boise.  John was Chairman of the Oregon Council of Economic Advisors from 1992 to 1998 and a member from 1984 to 1998. He was Chairman of Governor Kitzhaber’s Tax Review Technical Advisory Committee.

John and his wife Carol divide their time between the Portland area and Coeur d’Alene.  He enjoys biking, railroading sea kayaking and his granddaughters.

Upcoming Luncheon Events

Creating Community for All Ages

Date/Time: Tuesday June 12th, 2018 12:00 PM - 1:15 PM Location: The Sentinel 614 SW 11th Ave, 3rd floor Portland, OR Research demonstrates that participating in arts activities improves the health and quality of life of older people. Connecting across generations helps older adults become involved with younger people in their communities as mentors, sages, and neighbors. Tim’s organization, EngAGE changes lives by transforming affordable senior and multi-generational apartment communities into vibrant...

Curtis Robinhold – June 5th, 2018

Date/Time: Tuesday June 5th, 2018 12:00 PM - 1:15 PM Location: The Sentinel 614 SW 11th Ave, 3rd floor Portland, OR New Executive Director Curtis Robinhold will discuss the Port of Portland priorities and projects shaping our region now and into the future. This will include a preview of the two billion dollar PDX airport modernization project and the Port’s work on marine shipping options. He will also discuss the Port’s approach to leadership on regional prosperity including thoughtful industrial...

Traci Weaver – May 1st, 2018

Date/Time: Tuesday May 1st, 2018 12:00 PM - 1:15 PM Location: The Sentinel 614 SW 11th Ave, 3rd floor Portland, OR The 2017 fire season was long and arduous here in the Pacific Northwest. We spent a record 40 days at Preparedness Level 5 (the highest level) – almost three weeks more than in 2015. In addition, we had multiple fires that crossed the state, regional, and national borders prompting multi-jurisdictional and even bi-national fire management with our Canadian neighbors. When the Eagle Creek Fire...

Adam Campbell

Date/Time: Tuesday April 24th, 2018 12:00 PM - 1:15 PM Location: The Sentinel 614 SW 11th Ave, 3rd floor Portland, OR The Preserve Planet Earth Committee awards recognition to one business each year for their sustainable and earth-friendly practices. The 2017 Preserve Planet Earth awardee was Elk Cove Winery. Adam Campbell, owner of Elk Cover Winery, will speak about their environmentally sound business practices. In addition, Adam has gracioiusly offered a wine-tasting of a few of their wines. So show up...

Upcoming Special Events

Earth Day Shake it Up Potluck – April 26th, 2018

Date/Time: Thursday April 26, 2018 5:30-8:00 PM Location: Portland Children's Museum 4015 SW Canyon Road Portland, OR 97221 Are you ready for the Big One? Celebrate the week of Earth Day with your fellow Rotarians for a night of education, fellowship, and earthquake preparedness. Gather for a potluck dinner in the theater at Portland Children’s Museum, and then watch the OPB special Unprepared about Oregon’s ability to withstand a major earthquake. Enjoy a Q&A with our club geologist, Dr. Scott Burns. End...

Strategic Plan Info Night – May 7th, 2018

Date/Time: Monday May 7th, 2018 5:30-7:30 PM Location: Rotary Club of Portland Office 1220 SW Morrison St Portland, OR 97205 This year, President Steve Watts led our club in a 3-year Strategic Planning process that has culminated with a solid plan for our club to use into the short and long-term future. This has been a comprehensive and engaging process and Steve would like to share the outcomes and details of this plan with our members. Please join us for an informational night at the Rotary...

Starlight Parade Float Building! – May 12th 2018

Date/Time: Saturday May 12th, 2018 9:30 PM Help create our Parade Float! All levels are welcome to help make this sketch a reality. We will be meeting various days up to the Parade on June 2nd to cut, paint and put together the float. Then enjoy the parade on the evening of June 2nd. Contact Aron Geelan to volunteer: arongeelan@gmail.com | 503.913.7193 9:30am-1:00pm

2018 Oregon Ethics in Business Awards – May 23rd, 2018

Date/Time: Wednesday May 23, 2018 6:00pm Oregon Ethics in Business honors those organizations and individuals who have demonstrated ethical business practice in its broadest interpretation: in the workplace, the marketplace, the environment, and the community. The recipients of these awards will have, by act and example, gone beyond the expected to achieve excellence in ethical business practices. Learn More